Hello everyone and welcome to a special edition of my blog.
Today, I am going to list my predictions for who has the best chances of
winning this season IF they make final tribal council. For example, I have Jay
as having the best chances if he makes it there, but it is unlikely that he
does. The reason I won’t predict specific placements of people is that there
are 6 people left and that would leave too many scenarios for me to have to
calculate. I know what you are thinking. Well, then how can we keep Julia
accountable for her predictions? It’s simple. Take the three people who make
final tribal council and see how many votes they got. If my predictions are
accurate, then the winner would have been placed on this list higher than the
other two people. Make sense? Good. I hope my predicting these winners does not
jinx them like it did with Paul on Big Brother. So here are the rankings!
1.) Jay
Let me start off by saying that it is going
to be really hard for Jay to make final tribal council. I do not expect him to.
But, if he did he would beat everybody except maybe David. He has Taylor and
Michelle’s votes locked down. No one is stealing those from him. That’s 2 solid
votes when you only need 4 or 5 to win depending on the jury size. I am also
pretty sure he would have Sunday. Adam might also vote for him as they seem to
have a begrudging respect for one another that Adam has not shown to any other
player.
Also, I read somewhere that Jay’s photo as a
contestant was a part of a recent episode of CBS’s sitcom Life In Pieces. Based
on filming schedules of most sitcoms, at the latest that episode filmed in
September when Survivor was first premiering. I don’t think CBS would have
featured him as a joke in another show that would just now be airing if he did
not make it very far, so add that to a conspiracy factor of him possibly
winning.
2.) Adam
I know. I am just as surprised as you are that I am putting
him above David, but hear me out. Juries tend to have short term memory, they
care more about the end stretch than the beginning. Adam has had a much better
end stretch. He orchestrated the Will vote out. He saved Hannah. He has been
the one pulling the strings while David has pulled back to not be seen as a
threat. The last “big” move the jury currently has of David is when he misused
his idol to save Ken who wasn’t in trouble. Juries love a good underdog story, but
somewhere along the way David became seen as a top dog, and therefore he will
be held to that standard.
Also, I’m trying to find a sensitive way to say this
so please do not take what I am about to say in the wrong way. Adam also has the fact that he is playing for
his sick mother. Do I think he would bring her up in final tribal council as a
deliberate game move to manipulate votes? No. I do not think he is that cold,
but I do think it will come out. And his strength in dealing with that is going
to garner votes. It’s why Jeremy from second chances did not tell other players
his wife was expecting a baby, they would have then known to vote him out
before the finals because that alone could make him win. I am not saying
neither of them deserve it based off of game, they do, but that is an added
benefit that both of them have.
3.) David
David has played a good game all season, but the
intensity with which he plays has fizzled out towards the end stretch. This is
likely a deliberate move on his part to lose some of his being a target.
However, as I said before, the jury tends to look at who played better towards
the end, then what you did in the beginning. It is part of the reason why
Michelle beat Aubrey in Survivor Kah Rong(or however that is spelled) even though Aubrey outplayed her all
game. I think the same scenario could happen to David if he goes to the finals
with either Adam or Jay. However, if he makes it with the people ranked below
him on this list, he is guaranteed the win.
4.) Ken
I guess he could win if the jury decided to only vote
on likability. Or if he ends up in the finals with Brett and Hannah. The issue
is I do not see either scenario happening. The jury does not seem bitter enough
to go for the first, and I do not see him betraying David to end up with the
second. However, it is still possible which is why he is ranked at 4.
5.) Brett
Brett arguably has done the least out of everyone in
the final 6. But, why do I not have him at the bottom? It is very simple. He
has friends on the jury. Zeke, Chris, and Sunday are all very close to him.
They could all vote for him depending on who he sits next to. Therefore, it is
not a lost cause that he could potentially win, it just is unlikely because 3
votes is not enough to win. He would have to swing someone else over.
6.) Hannah
Hannah is a lost cause for winning. In voting out
Sunday, she became the new person that will not win. She does not have any
close allies who will vote for her based off of a relationship except maybe
Adam. The rest will vote off of game and in the perception of the jury, she has
done nothing. She has been the most expendable member of every alliance she has
been. And let’s not forget the week 2 tribal snafu where she agreed to vote
with Michelle even though she was just told the plan at tribal and would not
even be given a reason until afterwards. She has been a mess strategically and socially
this season and would at most have Adam’s vote. Even that is not guaranteed
though as I could also see Adam voting off of game play and picking a Jay,
David, or Ken win over her.
So there you have it. My predictions for who is most
likely to win if they make tribal council. Drop a comment below or on my
Facebook page telling me if you agree and if not which prediction would you
change. I’d love to hear from you. With all of this being said, I hope you guys
have a great week. I am about to go die from finals. Wish me luck.
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